No, you kids stop laughing. This is before your time, I know, but in the olden days we children sat spellbound around our fires as the elders told us wondrous tales of a fabulous “scientific method” through which wise men would bring progress and enlightenment to our world.
The idea – and I’m working from memory here, because of course nobody tells such tales anymore – is that in the olden days scientists didn’t just decide what they wanted people to believe and then think up statistics to support those conclusions, the way they do now. Rather they formed “hypotheses,” which they then attempted to support or disprove with actual “evidence.”
It sounded really good and sold a lot of white lab coats, but in the end the scientists learned the same thing their predecessors the shamans and soothsayers could have told them: Our masters don’t pay for righteous uncertainty. They already know what they want the truth to be, and unless you want to explore all those exciting opportunities in ditch-digging you’ll discover it for them.
And so they do. And they do, and they do, and no matter how widely the ‘settled science’ wanders from observable fact, they’ll keep right on howling it.
Just how much more crime can we expect? Using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s warming projections, Ranson calculated that from 2010 to 2099, climate change will “cause” an additional “22,000 murders, 180,000 cases of rape, 1.2 million aggravated assaults, 2.3 million simple assaults, 260,000 robberies, 1.3 million burglaries, 2.2 million cases of larceny, and 580,000 cases of vehicle theft” in the United States.